

How the Albania Protests Connect to a Broader Fight Against Corruption (Part 1)
While the promise of dramatic reforms following Hungary’s April elections has captured headlines, that same month saw another major anti-corruption development in Europe. On April 22, a Moldovan court sentenced former politician, oligarch and power broker Vladimir Plahotniuc to 19 years in prison for his role in the 2014 theft of $1 billion from three Moldovan banks, which had also implicated a number of other business and political leaders.

Marc Schleifer
Jul 23 min read


Corruption Risks Inherent in Prediction Markets
In January 2026, shortly before US forces captured Venezuela’s then-President Nicolás Maduro, a new, anonymous account on the prediction market Polymarket bet on the leader’s removal from power, turning $32,000 into over $400,000 in profit. In March, more than 150 accounts bet on the timing of US strikes on Iran, with six traders together netting over $1.2 million. In April, more newly-created accounts perfectly timed bets that White House would announce a ceasefire.

Marc Schleifer
Apr 233 min read
